Match Analysis: Nice vs Paris FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice
Game Overview
Nice hosts Paris FC in a Ligue 1 match where the home side has a clear edge in form and squad strength. Nice are slight favorites to win but matches have a decent chance of goals given attacking styles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nice has a moderately positive recent form (2 wins, 2 losses in last 5 matches), showing resilience at home. Paris FC has been inconsistent (2 wins, 2 losses in last 4), with some defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Nice generally performs better against Paris FC, especially at home.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side impacting key offensive or defensive players.
- Match is early in the season; no weather or travel issues expected. Playing at home is a notable advantage for Nice.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season, but Nice likely has more at stake racing for top-table positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nice: -121, Paris FC: 285, Draw: 290 | Nice | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Nice -0.5: -118, Paris FC +50: -102 | Nice -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Over 3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nice 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Nice moneyline, Nice -0.5 spread, and Over 3 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1