Match Analysis: Najee Lopez vs Kalvin Henderson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Osceola Heritage Park, Kissimmee, United States
Game Overview
Najee Lopez faces Kalvin Henderson in a 10-round Light Heavyweight bout. Lopez is the strong favorite given his undefeated 14-0 record with 11 KOs, age, reach and height advantages, and higher knockout rate. Henderson has more experience with 19-2-1 record but is the underdog with longer odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Najee Lopez is undefeated (14-0) with 79% KO rate; Kalvin Henderson has a 19-2-1 record with 68% KO rate. Lopez is younger and less experienced but stronger and more powerful on paper.
- No recorded head-to-head bouts between Lopez and Henderson.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight is at home venue for both fighters (U.S.), with no travel disadvantages. Scheduled for 10 rounds at light heavyweight weight limit (175 lbs).
- Lopez seeks to maintain undefeated record and continue upward trajectory with top WBA and IBF rankings. Henderson aims to deliver an upset and improve ranking. Lopez has higher motivation as rising star.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -1400, away: +700 | Najee Lopez | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | home: -400, away: +320 | Najee Lopez -3.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Over/under | over_8.5: -150, under_8.5: +120 | Over 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Najee Lopez -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Najee Lopez at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Najee Lopez to win by knockout or decision
Predicted Score: Najee Lopez wins by 9th round TKO