Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs BYU Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Folsom Field
Game Overview
The BYU Cougars (3-0) visit the Colorado Buffaloes (2-2) in Big 12 play. BYU enters undefeated with a strong balanced attack and elite defense, while Colorado struggles offensively and defensively, particularly against the run.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU is 3-0 with a top-20 scoring offense and the second-best total and scoring defense nationally, allowing only 5.3 points per game and 205 yards per game. Colorado is 2-2, with offensive struggles at quarterback and a defense ranked 112th against the run.
- BYU crushed Colorado by 22 points in their last meeting despite Colorado having a more talented roster at that time. Recent form heavily favors BYU.
- No major injuries reported impacting key BYU offensive and defensive personnel. Colorado has some questions at quarterback but no specific injury details noted.
- The game is at Folsom Field, a notable home advantage for Colorado, but BYU's consistency and defense mitigate this factor.
- BYU is motivated to maintain an undefeated record and prove dominance early in Big 12 play, while Colorado seeks to stabilize after losses and improve conference standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU -260, Colorado +205 | BYU | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | BYU -6.5 -115, Colorado +6.5 -105 | BYU -6.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105 | Under 47.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | BYU Cougars -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 47.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take BYU straight up on the moneyline (-260), cover the spread (-6.5), and expect the total score to stay under 47.5.
Predicted Score: BYU 30 – Colorado 17