Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs BYU Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Folsom Field
Game Overview
The BYU Cougars (3-0) visit the Colorado Buffaloes (2-2) in Big 12 play. BYU enters undefeated with a strong balanced attack and elite defense, while Colorado struggles offensively and defensively, particularly against the run.
Key Factors to Consider
- BYU is 3-0 with a top-20 scoring offense and the second-best total and scoring defense nationally, allowing only 5.3 points per game and 205 yards per game. Colorado is 2-2, with offensive struggles at quarterback and a defense ranked 112th against the run.
- BYU crushed Colorado by 22 points in their last meeting despite Colorado having a more talented roster at that time. Recent form heavily favors BYU.
- No major injuries reported impacting key BYU offensive and defensive personnel. Colorado has some questions at quarterback but no specific injury details noted.
- The game is at Folsom Field, a notable home advantage for Colorado, but BYU's consistency and defense mitigate this factor.
- BYU is motivated to maintain an undefeated record and prove dominance early in Big 12 play, while Colorado seeks to stabilize after losses and improve conference standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | BYU -260, Colorado +205 | BYU | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | BYU -6.5 -115, Colorado +6.5 -105 | BYU -6.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105 | Under 47.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | BYU Cougars -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take BYU straight up on the moneyline (-260), cover the spread (-6.5), and expect the total score to stay under 47.5.
Predicted Score: BYU 30 – Colorado 17