Match Analysis: South Carolina Gamecocks vs Kentucky Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:45 PM UTC
- Location: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, South Carolina
Game Overview
South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2) host Kentucky Wildcats (2-1) in a key SEC matchup with South Carolina favored by about 5.5 to 6.5 points and a total around 46 to 46.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Carolina struggled with consistency (recent loss to Missouri 29-20) but possesses a stronger passing game led by QB LaNorris Sellers. Kentucky boasts a powerful rushing attack, averaging 214 yards per game, exploiting South Carolina's subpar tackling.
- Recent historical odds and analysis favor South Carolina as the stronger team overall with roughly 69% moneyline implied win chance, but Kentucky's defense and running game create potential challenges.
- No explicit injury reports given in the data, but QB LaNorris Sellers has been under heavy pressure with 12 sacks in 4 games, indicating vulnerabilities on the offensive line.
- South Carolina plays at home in Williams-Brice Stadium, offering a home-field edge. SEC conference context adds significance, increasing motivation to perform.
- South Carolina aims to rebound after a loss, while Kentucky tries to maintain momentum from a convincing 48-23 win. Both teams are motivated but South Carolinaβs home spotlight and ranking as favorites add pressure and incentive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | South Carolina -210, Kentucky +172 | South Carolina | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | South Carolina -5.5 -110, Kentucky +5.5 -110 | South Carolina -5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 46.5 -106, Under 46.5 -114 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | South Carolina Gamecocks 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Carolina Gamecocks moneyline, South Carolina -5.5 spread, Under 46.5 total points
Predicted Score: South Carolina 27 – Kentucky 17