Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton
Game Overview
The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (5-9) at Commonwealth Stadium. Saskatchewan is the clear favorite with strong recent form and a playoff berth secured, while Edmonton is struggling and fighting for postseason hope.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saskatchewan holds a commanding 10-3 record with dominant offensive displays, despite a recent 48-31 loss. Edmonton has a disappointing 5-9 record with inconsistent play and weaker defense.
- Recent H2H favors Saskatchewan, who have covered spreads and outperformed Edmonton in prior matchups this season, demonstrating a tactical edge.
- No critical injuries reported for Saskatchewan; Edmonton's depth and injury reports suggest potential vulnerability on defense.
- Game at Edmontonβs home field but Saskatchewan's motivation and form overshadow home field advantage. Weather expected to be neutral, no significant environmental impacts.
- Saskatchewan locked into playoffs and competing for top West positionβstrong motivation. Edmonton fighting to stay alive for postseason, but morale and form comparatively weaker.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +158, away: -192 | Away (Saskatchewan Roughriders) to win | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | home: -106, away: -114 | Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 to cover | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 54.5 total points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Saskatchewan Roughriders -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 54.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saskatchewan Roughriders to win moneyline and cover the spread; game total to stay under 54.5 points.
Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Edmonton Elks 17