Match Analysis: Navy Midshipmen vs Rice Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
Game Overview
Navy Midshipmen (3-0) host Rice Owls (3-1) in an American Conference matchup. Navy is favored by 14.5 points with a total line around 44.5 points. Navy boasts a strong offense averaging 44 points per game and a stout defense allowing 18 points per game. Rice has a solid rushing attack and a decent passing defense but has struggled overall on the road historically against Navy.
Key Factors to Consider
- Navy is undefeated at 3-0 and averaging 44 points on offense while allowing 18 points on defense. They are strong at home (2-0) and effective both rushing (375.3 ypg) and passing (118 ypg). Rice is 3-1 with a strong rushing attack (255 yards in last game) but weaker passing defense and less consistent overall.
- Rice has won only 1 of the last 5 matchups against Navy. Navy dominates head-to-head with recent lopsided victories.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would affect starting lineups or major contributors.
- Game is at Navyβs home stadium with good weather expected; no travel or external disruptions noted. Navy motivated to maintain perfect season and control conference standings.
- Navy seeks to continue unbeaten streak and build momentum facing Air Force next. Rice aims to prove itself against a top conference opponent on the road but lacks consistency and historical success versus Navy.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Navy: -675, Rice: +490 | Navy | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Navy: -14.5 -110, Rice: +14.5 -110 | Navy -14.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over: 44.5 -112, Under: 44.5 -108 | Under 44.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Navy Midshipmen -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 44.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navy to win both on the moneyline and cover the spread with the game going under the total of 44.5 points.
Predicted Score: Navy 31 – Rice 13