Match Analysis: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Kinnick Stadium
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (4-0) visit the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1) in a Big Ten conference matchup with Indiana favored by 7.5 points. Indiana is undefeated and ranked No. 11, showing strong offensive efficiency, while Iowa is solid at home but has a lesser recent form and less explosive offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana enters 4-0 with a high-scoring offense averaging over 33 points per game, displaying strong Big Ten momentum. Iowa is 3-1, playing well at home but with a less consistent offense averaging about 29 points per game.
- Recent H2H trends suggest Indiana has edged close games, although playing at Iowaβs Kinnick Stadium can tighten the contest. No dominant historical advantage.
- No significant injury reports impacting starting quarterbacks or key defensive personnel known before game day, keeping both teams near full strength.
- Neutral conditions expected; game at Iowaβs home field offers crowd advantage but travel for Indiana has been routine this season.
- Indiana motivated to maintain undefeated record and Big Ten standing; Iowa aims to bounce back after one loss and defend home turf strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -295, Iowa Hawkeyes: 235 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -7.5 -110, Iowa Hawkeyes: +7.5 -110 | Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over: 47.5 -118, Under: 47.5 -104 | Under 47.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 47.5 26% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers moneyline and cover the 7.5 spread, with the total points going under 47.5
Predicted Score: Indiana 30 – Iowa 20