Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, MB
Game Overview
A tight CFL Week 17 matchup between the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (9-5) and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-7) at Winnipeg's home stadium. Hamilton is favored by the spread with Bo Levi Mitchell at QB, while Winnipeg looks to rally behind Zach Collaros returning from injury.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hamilton comes in on a four-game winning streak with a strong passing attack led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who is nearing 4,575 yards on the season. Winnipeg is balanced with a solid rushing game but struggles on defense against passing attacks and Collaros' performance has been inconsistent this year.
- Hamilton defeated Winnipeg 32-21 in their last meeting two weeks ago at home, and they hold the slight edge overall in recent H2H matchups.
- Winnipegβs Zach Collaros is returning from injury and could be limited, impacting their passing efficiency. Hamilton is healthy at QB with Bo Levi Mitchell fully participating.
- The game is played at Winnipeg's home stadium, but Hamilton appears to be peaking at the right time and motivated to solidify postseason standing.
- Hamilton is fighting to secure the top spot in the East Division and seems motivated to build momentum with a 4-0 streak, while Winnipeg is in a playoff race needing to defend home turf strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton +108, Winnipeg -130 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Hamilton -1.5 -104, Winnipeg +1.5 -118 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 -110, Under 52.5 -110 | Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 52.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline win
Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 24