Match Analysis: Lorient vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient, France
Game Overview
AS Monaco, currently leading Ligue 1, face Lorient, who are struggling near the relegation zone. Monaco have been dominant this season, showing superior form, while Lorient have found difficulties in securing results.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Monaco is top of Ligue 1 with a strong record of 4 wins and 1 loss, demonstrating both effective offense and defense. Lorient is 17th, struggling for points with poor form and goal scoring issues.
- Historically, AS Monaco have had the upper hand against Lorient, consistently outperforming them in past Ligue 1 encounters.
- No significant injury updates reported for AS Monaco. Lorient may lack depth to challenge Monaco's strength fully.
- Match played at Lorientβs home stadium, but their poor home form and Monacoβs momentum lessen the typical home advantage. No adverse weather or other external disruptions reported.
- AS Monaco aims to maintain their lead and momentum at the top of the table, which bolsters their motivation. Lorient is under pressure to avoid falling deeper into the relegation zone but may struggle against the league leaders.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco: -168, Lorient: 395, Draw: 320 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | AS Monaco -1: -102, Lorient +1: -122 | AS Monaco -1 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 3: -112, Under 3: -108 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and for the match to go over 3 goals
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 3 – 1 Lorient