Match Analysis: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs Belmont Bruins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mabee Center, Tulsa, OK
Game Overview
Belmont Bruins (2-0) face the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (1-2) in an NCAA college basketball game. Belmont is favored heavily due to their unbeaten record and stronger offensive statistics, averaging 83.0 points per game with 50% field goal shooting, while Oral Roberts struggles offensively with 41.6% shooting and 80.7 points per game. The game is set at Oral Roberts' home court, where they have a strong recent night-game performance record against non-conference opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Belmont is undefeated with efficient shooting, especially field goals (50%) but relatively low three-point shooting (26.2%) and decent free throw making (74.1%). Oral Roberts has a poor shooting percentage (41.6%) with turnover and foul issues (13.7 turnovers and 21.7 fouls per game) and a defense that surrenders 28.4% on three-point shots and 79.5% free throw shooting. Oral Roberts has recently lost close games indicating potential but inconsistency.
- The teams last met on Nov 19, 2024, with Belmont winning 90-80 covering a -9.5 spread. Generally, Belmont has shown dominance in recent night games and against Oral Roberts, which has lost 9 of its last 10 night games against non-conference opponents.
- No specific injury reports or absences were identified in available data for this matchup.
- The game is at Oral Roberts' home venue, where they have a strong record in night games. However, Belmont has been exceptionally strong on Saturday nights winning 13 of their last 14 Saturday night games, which could influence motivation and performance.
- Belmont is riding the momentum of an undefeated start and has strong motivation to maintain perfect form. Oral Roberts is seeking redemption from a 1-2 start and close recent losses, leveraging home court advantage and historical night-game success to boost confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins: -450, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: 340 | Belmont Bruins | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Belmont Bruins: -8.5 -110, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: +8.5 -110 | Belmont Bruins to cover -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 172.5 -110, Under: 172.5 -110 | Under 172.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 172.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 172.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Belmont Bruins are predicted to win convincingly due to superior shooting efficiency, momentum from an undefeated record, and consistent Saturday night performance. Oral Roberts may keep it competitive due to home court and motivational factors but is less likely to cover the spread or win outright.
Predicted Score: Belmont Bruins 83 – Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 74