Match Analysis: Dayton Flyers vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Dayton Flyers Home Court
Game Overview
The Dayton Flyers host the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats in a NCAA men's basketball matchup with no recent head-to-head history, making this an unpredictable contest. Dayton enters favored after recent strong performances, including dominant wins against Canisius and UMBC. Bethune-Cookman comes off a heavy loss to the Miami Hurricanes but showed scoring ability in a win over Coastal Georgia.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dayton Flyers exhibit strong recent form with convincing wins (88-48 vs Canisius, 77-71 vs UMBC), demonstrating defensive and offensive efficiency. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats have been inconsistent, with a heavy 61-101 loss against Miami Florida but a solid 101-60 win vs Coastal Georgia. The Flyers have a deeper roster and higher scoring averages.
- There is no recent head-to-head data between the two teams. The last recorded meetings from early 2000s show Dayton holding a 2-0 advantage, but these are outdated and less relevant. This game represents a clean slate for both sides.
- No specific injury data is available for either team at the moment, suggesting rosters are likely close to full strength for the matchup.
- Dayton, as the home team, benefits from home court advantage and a psychologically favorable environment. Bethune-Cookman faces the challenge of travel and playing on the road against a superior opponent with strong recent momentum.
- Dayton is motivated to solidify their strong start to the season and continue dominance in early games. Bethune-Cookman seeks redemption and an upset opportunity to build confidence despite recent struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: 1280, Dayton Flyers: -3500 | Dayton Flyers win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: -17.5 -102, Dayton Flyers: +17.5 -120 | Dayton Flyers to cover -17.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 148.5 -115, Under: 148.5 -105 | Over 148.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dayton Flyers -20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dayton Flyers are heavily favored to win decisively based on recent form, talent depth, and home advantage. Expect Dayton to cover the large spread and the game to go over the total line.
Predicted Score: Dayton Flyers 85 – 62 Bethune-Cookman Wildcats