Match Analysis: Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Spectrum Center
Game Overview
The Charlotte Hornets host the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Spectrum Center in a matchup between the league's top team and one of its struggling franchises. The Thunder enter the game on a dominant run, having won 12 of their first 13 games, while the Hornets sit near the bottom of the Eastern Conference with a 4-8 record. The game is expected to be a showcase of Oklahoma City's offensive firepower led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander against a Hornets defense that has struggled to contain elite scorers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oklahoma City Thunder are the best team in the NBA at 12-1, boasting the league's top offense and a top-five defense. They are averaging 120.5 points per game and allowing just 108.3. Charlotte Hornets are 4-8, ranking near the bottom in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They average 108.9 points per game but allow 118.2, indicating vulnerability against high-powered offenses.
- Oklahoma City has dominated recent matchups, winning the last five games against Charlotte. The Thunder have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings and have won by an average margin of 15.2 points in those games.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
- The game is being played at the newly renovated Spectrum Center, which may provide a slight boost to the Hornets' home-court advantage. However, Oklahoma City has proven to be one of the best road teams in the league, going 6-1 away from home this season.
- Oklahoma City is motivated to extend their winning streak and solidify their position as the top team in the NBA. Charlotte is looking to snap a losing streak and improve their standing in the Eastern Conference, but their recent form suggests limited motivation will overcome the talent gap.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 750, away: -1200 | Oklahoma City Thunder | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: 15.5, away: -15.5 | Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 228.5, under: 228.5 | Over 228.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 228.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder are heavily favored to win this game, with their superior team performance, head-to-head dominance, and lack of injuries giving them a clear edge. The Hornets are unlikely to cover the spread, and the game is expected to be a high-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Charlotte Hornets 108 – 125 Oklahoma City Thunder