Match Analysis: Santa Clara Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Leavey Center, Santa Clara
Game Overview
The Santa Clara Broncos host the Nevada Wolf Pack in an NCAA Men's basketball matchup where both teams enter undefeated at 3-0. Santa Clara is favored by 6.5 points at home with a total points line of 148.5. Nevada, known for a slower pace and attack on the rim, looks to keep the game close against a Santa Clara team that pushes the ball in transition and seeks revenge from a heavy loss last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nevada started the 2025-26 season strong with 3 home wins and ranks high nationally in taking care of the ball (19th in turnover percentage). Santa Clara is also 3-0, excels in fast transition play, and has a strong home record. Both teams contest well on rebounds.
- Nevada leads the recent series with a 6-1 record against Santa Clara, including a dominant 85-59 win last season as a 7.5-point favorite on their home court. Santa Clara seeks to avenge this loss at home.
- Nevada has two players with undisclosed injuries (F Tadjo Chris and G Gehrig Normand), but no confirmed sidelined starters. Santa Clara appears healthy.
- The game is played at Santa Clara's Leavey Center, providing home-court advantage. Nevadaβs deliberate pace contrasts with Santa Claraβs uptempo transition style. Weather and travel conditions do not significantly impact either team.
- Santa Clara is motivated to avenge last seasonβs heavy defeat to Nevada on the road. Nevada aims to maintain dominance in the series and handle the hostile environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack: +255, Santa Clara Broncos: -320 | Santa Clara to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Nevada Wolf Pack: +6.5 -106, Santa Clara Broncos: -6.5 -114 | Nevada to cover +6.5 points | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -112 | Game total to go over 148.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara Broncos 120% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Santa Clara Broncos at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara is predicted to win the game at home, leveraging their faster pace and home advantage. However, Nevada is expected to keep the game close and may cover the spread due to their solid defense and efficient ball control.
Predicted Score: Santa Clara Broncos 78 – Nevada Wolf Pack 72