Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Jackson St Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thomas Assembly Center, Ruston, LA
Game Overview
This NCAAB matchup features the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs hosting the Jackson State Tigers at the Thomas Assembly Center. Louisiana Tech enters the game with a 1-1 record, while Jackson State is 0-2. The Bulldogs are favored both on the moneyline and the spread, reflecting their stronger recent performance and home-court advantage. The total is set at 146.5, indicating expectations for a moderate-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Louisiana Tech is averaging 71.5 points per game on 47.8% shooting and allowing just 56 points per game on 34.8% shooting. They are particularly strong defensively, allowing only 26.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Jackson State, meanwhile, is averaging 62.5 points per game on 35.2% shooting and allowing 109.5 points per game on 53.6% shooting. Their defense has been a major weakness, especially on the road.
- Louisiana Tech has won 29 of its last 31 games against non-conference opponents at home, including a dominant record at the Thomas Assembly Center. Jackson State has lost each of its last 16 road games against non-conference opponents. The Bulldogs have also won the first half in each of their last six games against Conference USA opponents.
- Jackson State is missing Keiveon Hunt due to a knee injury, which could impact their defensive and rebounding capabilities.
- The game is being played at the Thomas Assembly Center, where Louisiana Tech has a strong home-court advantage. The venue is known for its supportive crowd and challenging environment for visiting teams.
- Louisiana Tech is motivated to build on their recent split of the last 8 games and continue their strong home record. Jackson State is looking to avoid another road loss and improve their defensive performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jackson St Tigers: 330, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -430 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Not available |
| Spread | Jackson St Tigers: 8.5 -115, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: -8.5 -105 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -8.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 146.5 -106, Under: 146.5 -114 | Over 146.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisiana Tech is expected to win this game, given their superior defensive metrics, home-court advantage, and strong recent performance. The Bulldogs are likely to control the pace and limit Jackson State's scoring opportunities. The game is expected to be competitive, but Louisiana Tech should pull away in the second half.
Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech 78, Jackson State 72