Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Montana St Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: ExtraMile Arena, Boise
Game Overview
This NCAAB matchup features the Boise State Broncos hosting the Montana State Bobcats at ExtraMile Arena. Boise State enters the game with a 2-1 record, showing strong home form and consistent scoring, while Montana State is 1-3, struggling on the road and against quality opponents. The game is expected to be a mismatch, with Boise State heavily favored by the betting market.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boise State has won two of their last three games, including dominant victories over Utah Valley (101-77) and UT Rio Grande (85-65). Their only loss was a narrow defeat to Hawaii Pacific (78-79). Montana State has lost three of their four games, including defeats to Colorado (78-84) and Stanford (68-77), with their only win coming against a non-Division I opponent (Northwest Indian College, 114-44). Boise State has covered the spread in 13 of their last 20 home games, while Montana State has covered only 4 of their last 19 away games.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but Boise State's home dominance and Montana State's road struggles suggest a significant advantage for the Broncos.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Boise State is playing at home, where they have a strong track record. Montana State is traveling and has struggled away from home, with a poor record against the spread and in outright wins.
- Boise State is motivated to build on their recent wins and maintain momentum. Montana State is looking to avoid a fourth loss and improve their record, but their recent performances suggest they may struggle against a stronger opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos: -2000, Montana St Bobcats: 980 | Boise State Broncos | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Boise State Broncos: -15.5, Montana St Bobcats: 15.5 | Boise State Broncos -15.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5, Under: 149.5 | Over 149.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State is expected to win this game comfortably, covering the spread and pushing the total over the line. Montana State's road struggles and Boise State's home dominance make this a likely blowout.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 82, Montana St Bobcats 67