Match Analysis: George Mason Patriots vs New Hampshire Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: EagleBank Arena, Fairfax, VA
Game Overview
The George Mason Patriots (3-0) host the New Hampshire Wildcats (2-2) in an America East Conference matchup. George Mason enters undefeated with strong home performance trends, while New Hampshire has shown inconsistency with a notable heavy loss to Clemson and some competitive wins. The Patriots are dominant favorites with significant betting odds advantage reflecting their stronger season start and home-court edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- George Mason boasts a perfect 3-0 record with high shooting efficiency, including 61% field goal and 87.9% free throw accuracy in their recent game. New Hampshire shows a 2-2 record with mixed performances, including an 88-38 blowout loss and a strong 113-31 win. George Mason capitalizes well on non-ranked opponents, particularly at home.
- Recent clashes favor George Mason significantly, especially at EagleBank Arena where they have won 19 out of their last 20 games versus non-AP-ranked teams. New Hampshire has struggled in day games against non-conference opponents, losing their last eight. However, George Mason has occasionally lost first halves in similar matchups, indicating possible slow starts.
- No specific injury reports have been found for either team for this match, indicating both may have their main rosters available.
- The game is scheduled for a day time slot, historically disadvantageous for New Hampshire against non-conference foes. The game is at George Mason's home venue which significantly boosts their advantage given their dominant home record.
- George Mason is motivated to maintain their undefeated status early in the season and extend their home dominance. New Hampshire looks to break their poor day-game and non-conference losing streaks, though face a daunting task against a strong Patriots team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | George Mason Patriots: -6000, New Hampshire Wildcats: 1600 | George Mason Patriots to win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | George Mason Patriots: -22.5 -110, New Hampshire Wildcats: +22.5 -110 | George Mason Patriots to cover the -22.5 spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 146.5 -112, Under: 146.5 -112 | Over 146.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | George Mason Patriots -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given George Mason's dominant home record, superior team efficiencies, and matchup advantages, they are heavily favored to win by a large margin. The spread of -22.5 points looks achievable, and the total points line of 146.5 suggests a moderately high-scoring game, consistent with George Mason's offensive efficiency. Confidence is strong in a comfortable George Mason victory.
Predicted Score: George Mason Patriots 82 – 58 New Hampshire Wildcats