Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Delaware St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT
Game Overview
The New Haven Chargers (1-3 overall, 0-2 conference) host the Delaware State Hornets (0-3 overall) in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams are struggling early in the season, with New Haven having won only one game against UMass Lowell while Delaware State remains winless. This NEC conference game features two underperforming squads looking to gain traction.
Key Factors to Consider
- New Haven is averaging 74.7 points per game on 41% shooting while allowing 101.3 points on 47.5% shooting, indicating significant defensive vulnerabilities. Jabri Fitzpatrick leads the Chargers with 13.5 PPG and 3.8 RPG, followed by Najimi George (12.8 PPG, 2.5 RPG). The team shoots 26.1% from three-point range and 65.4% from the free throw line, while grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game and allowing 37.1% from deep. Delaware State has been worse, losing four consecutive games including losses to Syracuse (43-83), Niagara (57-68), and Temple (65-83), showing they are severely outmatched against stronger competition.
- Limited recent history available, though Delaware State has shown vulnerability in road games, having lost 20 of their last 21 Saturday road games against non-conference opponents. However, Delaware State has won six of their last eight day games overall, providing some optimism for their daytime performance.
- No injury information is available from the provided data.
- The game is being broadcast on NEC Front Row. New Haven plays at home where they have a slight advantage, while Delaware State is playing on the road where they have struggled significantly. The 1:00 PM EST start time favors Delaware State's historical day-game performance, though this conflicts with their poor road record.
- Both teams desperately need a win to improve their records and conference standing. New Haven seeks their second conference victory at home, while Delaware State is attempting to avoid an extended losing streak and register their first win of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware State -110 / New Haven -110 (Even money) | New Haven Chargers ML | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Delaware State +1.5 (-125) / New Haven -1.5 (105) | New Haven -1.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
| Over/under | Over 134.5 (-112) / Under 134.5 (-108) | Under 134.5 | β β β ββ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Haven Chargers 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 134.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New Haven Chargers at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New Haven Chargers are favored to win this matchup. Despite both teams' poor performances, New Haven's home court advantage and superior point differential (allowing only 26.6 PPG more than they score versus Delaware State's significantly worse margins) give them the edge. Delaware State's historical struggles in Saturday road games and 0-3 record suggest they lack the consistency to pull off a road upset. New Haven should control the game through their rebounding advantage and home crowd support.
Predicted Score: New Haven 76, Delaware State 71