Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres host the Milwaukee Brewers in a crucial late-season MLB contest. The Padres, coming off a dominant 7-0 win in their previous head-to-head meeting, are pushing to solidify their playoff positioning while the Brewers aim to reverse a recent dip in form and maintain their status among league frontrunners.
Key Factors to Consider
- Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 5.6 runs per game recently, with strong home performances. Brewers have struggled lately but still maintain a solid season record of 95-63 compared to Padres' 87-71.
- Milwaukee leads with 37 all-time wins against Padres' 28, but Padres have dominated recent September meetings, including a 7-0 victory. Padres outperform slightly in average runs per game at home.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters on either side. Some minor day-to-day statuses noted but not expected to impact starters significantly.
- Game played at Padresβ home ballpark, Petco Park, which historically benefits Padresβ offense and pitching. Both teams motivated by playoff implications and momentum.
- Padres highly motivated to capitalize on recent dominant win and home advantage to improve playoff seeding. Brewers need to rebound from recent losses to hold their strong position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -120 | San Diego Padres | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -205 | San Diego Padres +1.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | -115 | Under 8 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego Padres 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres to win moneyline; Padres to cover +1.5 spread; total runs Under 8
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – 2 Milwaukee Brewers