Match Analysis: Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA
Game Overview
The matchup between the Loyola Marymount Lions and Troy Trojans features two undefeated teams this season, with LMU at 4-0 and Troy at 3-0. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, with Troy recently scoring a season-high 121 points against Pensacola Christian, while LMU maintains a solid defensive record with a key victory over UTEP 71-58. This is their first-ever meeting, adding an intriguing element to the game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Loyola Marymount is 4-0, including a 71-58 win against UTEP. Myron Amey Jr. leads LMU with 16.25 points per game and Jalen Shelley averages 8.5 rebounds. Troy is 3-0 with impressive offensive stats, including 121 points in their last game, led by Thomas Dowd (16 points) and strong team ball movement with 31 assists. Troy averages 96 points/game (34th nationally) with high field goal (50.5%) and three-point percentages (40.2%).
- No previous meetings between Loyola Marymount Lions and Troy Trojans have been recorded, making this the first encounter between the two teams.
- No significant injury reports have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
- The game is played at Loyola Marymountβs home court, Gersten Pavilion, which may advantage LMU. Troy is embarking on a six-game road trip, which could impact their performance.
- Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain perfect records early in the season. Troy will look to start their road trip strong, while LMU aims to capitalize on home-court advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola Marymount Lions: -188, Troy Trojans: 152 | Loyola Marymount Lions | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Loyola Marymount Lions: -4.5 -105, Troy Trojans: +4.5 -115 | Loyola Marymount Lions to cover -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 -110, Under: 142.5 -114 | Under 142.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola Marymount Lions 10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 142.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola Marymount Lions are favored to win due to home advantage and consistent performance, but Troy's high-powered offense and recent dominance make this a competitive game. Expect a close game with LMU slightly ahead.
Predicted Score: Loyola Marymount Lions 74 – Troy Trojans 68