Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, Colorado
Game Overview
The Providence Friars (2-1) travel to Boulder to face the undefeated Colorado Buffaloes (2-0) in a competitive early-season matchup. Providence enters on a one-game winning streak after defeating Penn 106-81, while Colorado recently secured a 102-97 overtime victory against Eastern Washington. This matchup features two teams with contrasting records but similar offensive capabilities, with Colorado holding a home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence has averaged 98.7 points per game on 49.3% shooting but allows 89 points defensively through three games. Sebastian Rancik leads the offense with 18.5 points per game, while Jason Edwards contributes 17.7 PPG and 3.3 APG. Colorado scores 93 points per game on 44.4% shooting and allows 71.9 points per game, demonstrating superior defensive prowess. Isiah Johnson averages 20.5 PPG with 58.8% field goal percentage, and Barrington Hargress adds 12.5 PPG with team-leading 3.5 assists.
- This is a regular-season non-conference matchup with no recent historical data available. Both teams are in early-season form with limited sample sizes.
- No injury information is available from the provided data.
- Colorado maintains a significant home-court advantage at the CU Events Center. The Buffaloes are 2-0 at home this season and have totals going over in both home games. Providence is 2-0 at home but 0-1 on the road, suggesting potential travel fatigue.
- Colorado seeks to maintain their undefeated record and home dominance. Providence looks to improve their away record and maintain momentum after their recent dominant victory over Penn.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado -110 | Providence -110 | Colorado Buffaloes | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Colorado -1.5 (-104) | Providence +1.5 (-128) | Colorado -1.5 | β β β ββ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Buffaloes at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Buffaloes are favored to win this matchup due to superior defensive efficiency, home-court advantage, and their perfect record. However, Providence's offensive firepower and recent strong performance create a competitive contest. The game projects as a close affair with Colorado covering the spread at home.
Predicted Score: Colorado 76, Providence 71