Match Analysis: DePaul Blue Demons vs Northwestern Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Game Overview
The Northwestern Wildcats (3-0) travel to Chicago to face the DePaul Blue Demons (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Northwestern enters as a significant favorite with a perfect record and strong defensive performance, while DePaul seeks to avenge a 20-point loss to Northwestern from last season. The Wildcats are 5.5-point favorites with an expected total of 139.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northwestern has won each of its last 11 Friday games against non-conference opponents and has won seven consecutive games against non-conference opponents. The Wildcats play at one of the slowest paces in the country (#310 adjusted tempo per KenPom) with excellent defensive metrics (#361 in average defensive possession length). DePaul has won 12 of its last 13 home games against non-conference opponents but has struggled offensively, averaging just 69 points per game over their last two games and ranking in the 200s nationally in effective field percentage, three-point percentage, and two-point percentage.
- Northwestern defeated DePaul 20 points in last season's matchup in Evanston. DePaul is seeking revenge on their home court at Wintrust Arena.
- Information regarding player injuries is not available in the provided search results.
- Northwestern has lost three of its last four night games following a home win, which could be a concern for the Wildcats. However, Northwestern has won the first half in each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents. DePaul has won the first half in seven of its last eight home night games against non-conference opponents.
- DePaul is motivated to avenge last season's 20-point loss at home. Northwestern is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and three-game win streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern -280 | DePaul +225 | Northwestern Wildcats | 73-75% |
| Spread | Northwestern -5.5 -115 | DePaul +5.5 -105 | Northwestern -5.5 | 70-72% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5 -110 | Under 139.5 -110 | Under 139.5 | 68-70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Northwestern Wildcats at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northwestern Wildcats will win and cover the spread. The combination of Northwestern's superior defense, slow pace of play, perfect record against non-conference opponents on Fridays, and DePaul's offensive struggles creates a favorable environment for the Wildcats to secure a road victory. The game should feature low scoring due to Northwestern's defensive prowess and sluggish offensive pace.
Predicted Score: Northwestern 74-63 (consensus), Northwestern 78-70 (alternative), Northwestern 72-67 (implied)