Match Analysis: Rice Owls vs East Texas A&M Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Tudor Fieldhouse, Houston, TX
Game Overview
Rice Owls host East Texas A&M Lions in a non-conference matchup on Friday, November 14, 2025. Both teams enter the game with a 1-2 record, seeking to break losing streaks and gain momentum early in the season. Rice has shown offensive capability, highlighted by Trae Broadnaxβs 21-point performance in their last outing, but struggled defensively in a recent loss to Stephen F. Austin. East Texas A&M has faced tough competition on the road, including games at New Mexico and Hawaii, and will look to improve their road record after a 1-16 mark last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rice averaged 4.7 steals, 3.1 blocks, and 11.3 turnovers per game last season, indicating a solid defensive presence but some inconsistency with ball control. East Texas A&M averaged 15.5 points off turnovers and 10.1 second-chance points, suggesting they can capitalize on mistakes. Rice has a slight edge in home performance, going 7-8 at home last year, while East Texas A&M struggled with a 1-16 road record.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, as both teams are in different conferences and have not played each other in recent seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Rice has the advantage of playing at home, where they have historically performed better. East Texas A&M is on a road-heavy stretch, which could impact their energy and focus. The game is part of East Texas A&Mβs transition to full Division I status, adding extra motivation for the Lions.
- Both teams are looking to improve their records and build confidence early in the season. Rice will be motivated to bounce back from a recent loss, while East Texas A&M seeks to prove themselves against a stronger opponent on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Texas A&M Lions: 500, Rice Owls: -700 | Rice Owls | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | East Texas A&M Lions: 11.5 -108, Rice Owls: -11.5 -112 | Rice Owls -11.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -105, Under: 147.5 -115 | Over 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rice Owls -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rice Owls are favored to win this matchup due to their home advantage and slightly better overall performance. East Texas A&M may keep the game competitive, especially if they can force turnovers, but Riceβs defensive metrics and home record suggest they will control the pace and secure the victory.
Predicted Score: Rice Owls 78, East Texas A&M Lions 69