Match Analysis: Bucknell Bison vs Hofstra Pride – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg
Game Overview
This NCAAB matchup features the Bucknell Bison hosting the Hofstra Pride at Sojka Pavilion. Both teams enter with moderate records, with Bucknell at 2-1 and Hofstra at 1-2. The game is expected to be competitive, with betting markets showing a slight edge to Hofstra. The total points line is set at 139.5, indicating a mid-tempo, low-scoring contest. Public betting is split evenly, but odds and projections favor Hofstra to cover the spread and win outright.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bucknell has shown moderate consistency, going 2-1 in their last five games and 2-1 against the spread. Their recent totals have trended under, with 0 of their last 3 games going over. Hofstra has struggled, with a 1-2 record, but their statistical profile shows better shooting efficiency (45% FG, 68% FT) and rebounding (37.33 per game) compared to Bucknell (42% FG, 74% FT, 32.33 rebounds). Hofstra also averages more assists (16.7 vs 10.3) and steals (7.33 vs 6.67), suggesting a more dynamic offense.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but both teams have similar historical competitiveness in non-conference play.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Bucknell's home venue, Sojka Pavilion, which may provide a slight home-court advantage. However, Hofstra's superior rebounding and offensive efficiency could offset this. The betting public is split 50/50, indicating no clear consensus.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Hofstra, with a losing record, may be more motivated to secure a road win, while Bucknell will aim to protect their home court and improve their record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bucknell Bison: 115, Hofstra Pride: -140 | Hofstra Pride | Not available |
| Spread | Bucknell Bison: 2.5 -115, Hofstra Pride: -2.5 -105 | Hofstra Pride -2.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 139.5 -105, Under: 139.5 -115 | Under 139.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hofstra Pride -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hofstra is favored to win and cover the spread, with a projected score in the low 70s for both teams. The total is expected to stay under 139.5, given both teams' recent trends and defensive profiles.
Predicted Score: Hofstra Pride 71, Bucknell Bison 68