Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana
Game Overview
The Tulane Green Wave (7-2, 4-1 AAC) host the Florida Atlantic Owls (4-5, 3-3 AAC) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Tulane is a dominant 17.5-point favorite at home, reflecting their superior record and recent performance. This is a critical game for both teams as they vie for conference positioning heading into the final stretch of the regular season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has been exceptional this season, maintaining a 7-2 overall record with a 4-1 conference mark. The Green Wave are currently 5-0 in their last 5 games and have won 3 of their last 5 games against the spread, demonstrating strong form. At home, Tulane maintains an average point total of 27.8 implied points with an ATS record of 2-1-1. Florida Atlantic, conversely, sits at 4-5 overall with a 3-3 conference record, struggling significantly this season. The Owls have covered the spread 5 times while failing to cover 4 times, showing inconsistency. Tulane has similarly won 5 games against the spread while failing to cover 4 times.
- Limited head-to-head data is available in the search results. However, Tulane's superior conference standing (4-1 vs 3-3) and home-field advantage provide a significant edge. Tulane's recent momentum, winning their last 5 games, contrasts sharply with Florida Atlantic's inconsistent performance this season.
- No specific injury information is provided in the available search results for either team.
- The game will be played at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, providing Tulane with a substantial home-field advantage. Weather conditions show clear skies with 0% chance of rain and temperatures around 75ยฐF, which should favor both offensive and defensive schemes. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, ensuring wide coverage. Public betting sentiment shows 66% of money backing Tulane, with 34% on Florida Atlantic, indicating professional and casual bettors heavily favor the home team.
- Tulane is motivated to maintain their winning streak and solidify their position in the AAC standings with a strong 4-1 conference record. Florida Atlantic faces elimination pressure with their 4-5 record and needs a statement win to keep their bowl eligibility hopes alive. The Owls will need to execute flawlessly to pull off a major upset against a dominant Tulane team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane: -900 | Florida Atlantic: +610 | Tulane Green Wave | โ โ โ โ โ 90% |
| Spread | Tulane: -17.5 (-110) | Florida Atlantic: +17.5 (-110) | Tulane -17.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 63.5 (-110) | Under 63.5 (-110) | Under 63.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 63.5 11% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane Green Wave will defeat Florida Atlantic Owls in a convincing manner. The combination of superior team performance, home-field advantage, recent momentum, and significant talent gap makes Tulane the clear favorite in this contest.
Predicted Score: Tulane 40, Florida Atlantic 20