Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs Eastern Michigan Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, Indiana
Game Overview
In this Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup, the Ball State Cardinals (4-5) host the Eastern Michigan Eagles (3-7) on November 15, 2025. Eastern Michigan is favored by 2.5 points, reflecting a closely contested game. The over/under total for combined points is set at 50.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring expectation given both teams' offensive and defensive performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ball State enters with a 4-5 record, showing stronger home performance with a 4-0 ATS at home and averaging around 48 points total per game. Eastern Michigan holds a 3-7 record, with offensive struggles ranking them 130th nationally in points scored (16.4). Their defense allows 31.7 points per game. Ball State's defense concedes fewer points on average (27.9) than Eastern Michigan, which could be a decisive factor.
- Recent historical data indicates a balanced rivalry with no overwhelming dominance. Current betting trends slightly favor Ball State with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games and a home advantage.
- There is no specific injury data available for either team for this matchup as of the current information date.
- Game will be played in 62ยฐF weather with no rain expected and light winds of 19 mph at Scheumann Stadium. Eastern Michigan travels, which might slightly affect their performance versus Ball State's home advantage.
- Ball State, with a better record and home field, has motivation to secure a winning record and bowl eligibility. Eastern Michigan, despite a poor season, aims to upset and improve morale. Both teams will look to exploit late-season momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ball State Cardinals: +110, Eastern Michigan Eagles: -130 | Ball State Cardinals win | โ โ โ โโ 58% |
| Spread | Ball State Cardinals: +2.5 -112, Eastern Michigan Eagles: -2.5 -108 | Ball State +2.5 to cover the spread | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 50.5 -108, Under: 50.5 -112 | Under 50.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eastern Michigan Eagles -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 50.5 -99% |
โ ๏ธ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
The Ball State Cardinals (+110 moneyline) are predicted to narrowly win this game, benefiting from home field and stronger recent form, while the over/under leans slightly toward the under 50.5 points given defensive tendencies and scoring averages.
Predicted Score: Ball State Cardinals 24 – Eastern Michigan Eagles 21