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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San Mamés

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Bilbao is in strong form, undefeated at home with solid recent results, while Girona struggles on the road with no away wins and a weak defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has a 3-0-1 overall record, undefeated at home (2-0-1), and recently won 3 of 4 matches. Girona has 0-1-3 overall, no away wins, and concedes an average of 3 goals per away game.
  • Historical data and simulations heavily favor Athletic Bilbao with a 58.3% win probability, Girona at 18.3%, and draws at 23.4%. Past matches show Bilbao dominance especially at home.
  • No notable injuries reported for either side influencing key starting players, sustaining both teams' typical strength.
  • No adverse external factors such as weather or travel fatigue significantly impacting this match; Bilbao playing at home with full crowd support.
  • Athletic Bilbao motivated to maintain strong home form and solidify league position; Girona under pressure after poor away performances and low points tally (1 point).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -235, draw: +375, away: +600 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 Athletic Bilbao -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win moneyline, -1.25 spread in favor of Athletic Bilbao, and under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-23 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Estadio de San Mamés Game Overview Athletic Bilbao hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Bilbao is in strong form, undefeated at home with solid recent results, while Girona struggles on the road with no away wins […]

Athletic Bilbao Girona September 23, 2025 Soccer

MORE FROM LA-LIGA

Real Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Game Overview

La Liga heavyweights Real Madrid host in-form Villarreal at the Bernabéu. Madrid looks to defend its home fortress, while Villarreal brings a hot streak after winning 11 of their last 13 league matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid are undefeated in 22 of their last 24 home league matches vs Villarreal, and remain a nearly invincible force at home. However, Villarreal's recent league form (11 wins in 13) is the best in La Liga, suggesting they are in peak competitive shape[7].
  • Madrid’s home dominance is clear, but Villarreal’s current momentum adds intrigue. Most recent meetings have been tightly contested, but Madrid rarely drops points at home in this fixture[7].
  • No new major injuries reported for either side at this time (based on available data).
  • Stadium factor: Bernabéu is a fortress. Neutral conditions expected; no significant travel or weather issues.
  • Madrid aims to maintain pressure at the top, while Villarreal seeks to prove their title credentials by taking points from the elite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid -215, Villarreal +460, Draw +420 Real Madrid ML ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Real Madrid -1.25 -110, Villarreal +1.25 -110 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 -120, Under 3.25 +100 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid’s home record and Villarreal’s current form set up a high-stakes, high-scoring clash, but Madrid’s elite squad and home edge remain decisive.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Real Madrid


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Mallorca in a La Liga match expected to be closely contested, with both teams seeking to improve their positions in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown mixed form, while Mallorca struggles with consistency away from home.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have varied, but Athletic Bilbao generally holds an advantage at home.
  • No significant injury updates affect this analysis.
  • Weather conditions and fan support could influence the match, but no significant external factors are noted.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Athletic Bilbao might have an edge playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -195, Mallorca: 575, Draw: 305 Athletic Bilbao ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1 -112, Mallorca: 1 -108 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -102, Under: 2.25 -118 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and recent trends, Athletic Bilbao is favored to win, while the match is expected to see over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 2, Mallorca 1


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Girona vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona and Valencia meet in La Liga with both teams showing interest in climbing the table. Girona, buoyed by strong home form, faces a Valencia side struggling for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona's recent form at home has been impressive, while Valencia's away performances have been shaky. Girona has shown a potent attack and is favored by statistical models to edge this encounter[2].
  • The H2H record is relatively even, but Girona's recent upswing and Valencia's inconsistent play tip the balance toward the home side[2].
  • No major injury reports found in the available data. Assume both teams are near full strength unless late updates indicate otherwise.
  • Standard La Liga match with no significant weather or venue issues reported. Home advantage is notable for Girona[2].
  • Both teams are mid-table with ambitions to push for European spots, ensuring a competitive match with goals likely.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona +144, Valencia +190, Draw +235 Girona Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Girona 0 -130, Valencia 0 +110 Girona 0 (Pick) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 -105, Under 2.5 -115 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win in a closely contested, attacking match. Expect both teams to score, but Girona's home edge and attacking quality should deliver three points[2].

Predicted Score: Girona 2-1 Valencia


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Oviedo vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

This is a La Liga regular season matchup where Real Oviedo hosts Levante. Oviedo enters as a slight favorite based on simulations and current form, but the teams are closely matched with moderate draw probability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oviedo has a slightly better recent form with a win probability of about 41%, Levante around 32%, and draws at 26%, according to advanced simulations.
  • Recent encounters have been competitive, with balanced results indicating a possible draw or narrow win for Oviedo. Both teams have scored in many prior matches.
  • No major injury reports impacting key players for either side have been highlighted, suggesting both teams should field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match is played at Oviedo's home stadium, which favors the home team slightly in terms of comfort and crowd support.
  • Both teams sit mid-table and strongly seek points to improve standings in early season, implying high motivation but no clear urgency difference.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oviedo +147, Levante +185, Draw +235 Oviedo ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Oviedo 0 -128, Levante 0 +108 Oviedo 0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oviedo 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oviedo at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Oviedo’s slight edge in form, home advantage, and balanced competitive dynamics, a narrow home win is the most value bet across the markets.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CA Osasuna vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar

Game Overview

CA Osasuna faces Getafe in a closely contested La Liga match. Osasuna is favored to win at home, but Getafe has a strong recent record against them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna has struggled on the road this season but has been solid at home. Getafe has shown resilience in their performances against Osasuna.
  • Getafe is undefeated in 11 of their last 12 matches against Osasuna, giving them a psychological edge.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this matchup.
  • Home advantage typically plays a role, but Osasuna's recent form suggests caution.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Osasuna looking to improve their home record and Getafe aiming to continue their unbeaten streak against Osasuna.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Osasuna: 121, Getafe: 285, Draw: 193 Draw ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Osasuna: -0.25 -118, Getafe: 25 -102 Getafe +0.25 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.75: -112, Under 1.75: -108 Under 1.75 ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 58%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with Getafe likely to avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1


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Valencia vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mestalla

Game Overview

Valencia hosts Oviedo at Estadio de Mestalla in a La Liga fixture where Valencia is favored due to stronger home form and experience, while Oviedo struggles away and overall this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valencia has a 2-2-2 overall record with stronger home form (2-1-0), accumulating 7 home points. Oviedo has performed poorly away with 0-0-3 and only 3 points overall, showing weakness outside home.
  • Historically, Valencia dominates recent encounters against Oviedo with better results and a home advantage.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side, so both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Valencia’s home stadium with no adverse weather or travel considerations. Valencia benefits from home crowd and familiar pitch.
  • Valencia motivated to consolidate position after mixed results; Oviedo aims to escape bottom zone but lack confidence away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valencia: -145, Oviedo: 405, Draw: 280 Valencia ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Valencia -0.75: -112, Oviedo +75: -108 Valencia -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valencia 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valencia moneyline win; Valencia -0.75 spread; Under 2.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Real Betis vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Betis vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

Real Betis hosts CA Osasuna in a La Liga clash where Betis shows stronger home form and higher win probability, while Osasuna struggles away. Both teams exhibit moderately defensive tendencies resulting in low to moderate scoring games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis holds a 2-0-1 home record and 9 overall points with a solid recent form; Osasuna is winless away (0-0-3) with just 7 points overall. Betis performs better in offensive and defensive metrics.
  • Historically, Betis has a slight advantage with more wins in recent fixtures, including a 1-0 win as the most likely correct score based on simulations.
  • No significant injury news reported for either team, so both sides are expected to field strongest lineups.
  • The match is played at Betis' home venue, boosting their confidence and reducing travel fatigue; no adverse weather or scheduling issues reported.
  • Betis aims to capitalize on home advantage to climb the La Liga table, while Osasuna fights to improve their dismal away record, likely leading to cautious play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis: -141, CA Osasuna: 360, Draw: 295 Real Betis ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Real Betis -0.75: -108, CA Osasuna +75: -112 Real Betis -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis to win, covering -0.75 spread, with under 2.5 goals scored in total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Game Overview

Barcelona host Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash with Barcelona leading the league and showing dominant recent form against Sociedad.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona have won 24 of the last 36 meetings and recently thrashed Sociedad 4-0 at home. They have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form. Sociedad have scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, showing attacking ability but struggle defensively, keeping just 3 clean sheets.
  • Barcelona lead the H2H with 24 wins vs. 7 for Sociedad and 5 draws. Notably, the last 13 clashes have had no draws, indicating a high likelihood of a decisive result.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would drastically alter first XI strength.
  • The match is at Barcelona’s home ground, where they have shown strong form. No major external disruptions reported.
  • Barcelona aim to consolidate their position at the top of La Liga to maintain title momentum. Sociedad will look to upset but face psychological pressure after recent heavy defeats against Barca.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -355, away: 1100, draw: 425 Barcelona win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Barcelona -1.75: -115, Real Sociedad +1.75: -105 Barcelona -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over 3.5: -120, under 3.5: 100 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win the moneyline and cover the spread with a total goals over 3.5

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Elche CF vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Game Overview

Elche CF hosts Celta Vigo in a tight La Liga matchup where Celta enter as slight favorites but recent form and home advantage suggest a cautious contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elche have an unbeaten home record (2-1-0) with solid form (two wins, three draws) while Celta have struggled away (0-2-0) and have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • Celta Vigo have won the last three meetings 1-0 each, showing narrow but consistent edges historically, although Elche took points in some close encounters.
  • No major injury news reported to significantly impact either team's lineup, suggesting both sides can field their best available XI.
  • The match is played at Elche’s home ground, which historically boosts their performance and confidence. No known weather or logistical issues affecting play.
  • Elche appear more motivated to capitalize on home advantage and climb the standings, while Celta’s poor recent results put pressure on them but may also affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +185, away: +157, draw: +220 Home Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home_0: +102, away_0: -122 Elche CF 0 Spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_2.25: -108, under_2.25: -112 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Elche CF 44%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Elche CF at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elche CF to Win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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