Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field, East Hartford, Connecticut
Game Overview
The UConn Huskies (7-3) are hosting the Air Force Falcons (3-6) in a significant NCAA Football matchup. UConn enters as a strong favorite, driven by a potent passing offense and solid recent performances, while Air Force looks to leverage its disciplined defense to cause an upset. The game is expected to be high-scoring with an over/under set at 63.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConn boasts one of the top passing offenses nationally, ranking 2nd in passing touchdowns and 3rd in total passing yards, contributing to their 36.9 points per game average (9th ranked). They have a solid 4-1 recent form and a strong record ATS (against the spread). Air Force, despite a struggling 3-6 record, recently upset San Jose State as underdogs and relies on a disciplined defense, but their passing defense ranks very low (111th in Pass PPA).
- Limited recent head-to-head data is available in the sources, but UConn has been the favored team in this matchup mainly due to offensive strengths and home advantage.
- No significant injuries reported or highlighted that would decisively impact either team, according to available information.
- Weather at kickoff is expected to be clear and cool (42ยฐF, 0% rain, light wind), which favors neither side heavily. The game will be televised on CBS Sports Network, potentially adding to home crowd motivation for UConn.
- UConn seeks to consolidate a strong season and maintain favorable bowl prospects, while Air Force aims to salvage their season with a key upset on the road, providing motivation for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies: -240, Air Force Falcons: 194 | UConn Huskies to win | โ โ โ โ โ 82% |
| Spread | UConn Huskies: -6.5 -115, Air Force Falcons: +6.5 -105 | UConn Huskies to cover -6.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | over: 63.5 -110, under: 63.5 -110 | Over 63.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 63.5 9% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies are favored to win the game based on superior offense, home advantage, and recent form. The predicted high scoring nature suggests betting the over on total points is advisable.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 38 – Air Force Falcons 26