Match Analysis: FC Barcelona Bàsquet vs Virtus Segafredo Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Palau Blaugrana
Game Overview
The Euroleague match features FC Barcelona Bàsquet hosting Virtus Segafredo Bologna at Palau Blaugrana. Both teams have a competitive history, with Barcelona slightly favored after a recent close win. Barcelona finished the previous season with a 20-14 record, and Virtus Bologna is under new coach Dusko Ivanovic, showing partial recovery. The match promises a high tempo and scoring battle based on recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Barcelona recently defeated Virtus 91-87 in a tight game, showing strong late-quarter performance and balanced scoring with six players in double digits. Key contributors include Kevin Punter (20 points) and Tomas Satoransky (11 points, 9 assists). Virtus features strong offensive players like Tornike Shengelia (17 points) and Will Clyburn (15 points) but has displayed inconsistency, notably under new coaching.
- The recent head-to-head indicates FC Barcelona with a 3-5 record against Virtus Bologna since 2000, with Barcelona winning the latest encounter. Matches are typically competitive and closely scored, demonstrating evenly matched squads.
- There is no specific up-to-date injury report available for either team at this moment. Both teams likely will field near full-strength squads for this important Euroleague fixture.
- The game is at Barcelona's home court, Palau Blaugrana, which tends to boost their performance. Recent new coaching at Virtus may impact team cohesion. The match atmosphere is expected to be intense after recent tight encounters.
- Barcelona aims to build on past success and maintain home advantage momentum. Virtus seeks to establish consistency under new coaching and improve their Euroleague standing after mixed results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -400, away: 295 | FC Barcelona Bàsquet to win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -8.5 -113, away: +8.5 -109 | Barcelona -8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 164.5 -112, under: 164.5 -112 | Over 164.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Barcelona Bàsquet -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 164.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 164.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Barcelona Bàsquet is favored to win due to home advantage, recent head-to-head success, balanced team performance, and deeper squad stability. Expect a high-scoring, closely contested match with Barcelona narrowly prevailing.
Predicted Score: FC Barcelona Bàsquet 88 – 78 Virtus Segafredo Bologna