Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Oakland Athletics – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 5:35 PM UTC
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Oakland Athletics in the final game of their three-game series. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention, leading to focus on pride and season momentum. Starting pitchers are Mike Burrows (Pirates) and Mitch Spence (Athletics), both with moderate ERAs and middling records, implying a potentially offense-friendly game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pirates have struggled recently with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games and only 1 home win in 5. Oakland Athletics have a slightly better form winning 7 of 10, including 4 on the road. Pirates averaged 2.6 runs/game, conceding 3.6, while Athletics averaged 5.55 runs per game in head-to-head meetings.
- Recent meeting on 20 Sept saw Pirates winning 2-0. Overall in season series, Athletics lead with 7 wins to Piratesβ 4. Home scorer rate favors Pirates but road Athletics have also performed well.
- No major injury reports affecting starting lineup or pitchers for either team reported, suggesting regular lineups and pitching staffs.
- No significant weather or external conditions reported at PNC Park influencing play. Motivation factors focus more on season pride as playoff stakes are absent.
- Both teams playing for pride and end-of-season momentum. Pirates may be motivated to defend home field after snapping losing streak against Athletics. Athletics seek to build on recent wins to finish strong.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Oakland Athletics: -107, Pittsburgh Pirates: -117 | Pittsburgh Pirates | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Oakland Athletics -1.5: +150, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -195 | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -118, Under 8.5: -108 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pirates moneyline
Predicted Score: Pirates 4 – Athletics 3