Match Analysis: Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Footprint Centre
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns host the Indiana Pacers in an NBA regular season matchup. Historically, the Suns hold a slight advantage with 55 wins to the Pacers' 46 over 101 regular-season games. Recent form shows the Suns winning 3 of their last 5 games with a focus on high scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, while the Pacers have won 4 of their last 5 but struggle offensively and defensively, especially with opponents scoring heavily against them.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phoenix Suns average 117.3 points per game, conceding 114.9 points on average, with a field goal percentage around 46.5%. Indiana Pacers score about 109.5 points per game but concede 121.7 points, showing defensive weaknesses. Pacers rank low in assists and steals but high in rebounds. Suns have moderate recent success ATS (against the spread) and in covering when scoring high points. Pacers have mixed ATS records, struggling to beat the spread when favorites.
- Out of 101 regular season games, Suns lead with 55 wins to 46 for the Pacers. Their recent head-to-head shows the Pacers having some recent wins, including a 2-0 record in past two meetings in 2025. Overall, Suns have a historical edge but Pacers have shown capability to win recently.
- No specific injury reports are available at the moment for either team, but monitoring any late updates will be important for final prediction adjustments.
- The game is played indoors at the Sunsβ home arena, the Footprint Centre, giving the Suns home-court advantage. No known external factors such as travel fatigue or unusual scheduling appear significant.
- Phoenix Suns, with a slightly better league standing and a solid home crowd, are motivated to maintain momentum. Pacers, having shown recent success against the Suns, will aim to continue their streak and prove defensive improvements.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Pacers: +152, Phoenix Suns: -180 | Phoenix Suns win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Indiana Pacers: +4.5 -110, Phoenix Suns: -4.5 -110 | Phoenix Suns to cover -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 234.5 -110, Under: 234.5 -110 | Over 234.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 234.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 234.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phoenix Suns are favored to win due to better offensive efficiency, home advantage, and historical dominance, but expect a competitive game with moderately high scoring close to the over/under line.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 120 – Indiana Pacers 112