Match Analysis: Wichita St Shockers vs Loyola (Chi) Ramblers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Charles Koch Arena, Wichita, Kansas
Game Overview
Wichita State Shockers (2-0) host the struggling Loyola Chicago Ramblers (1-2) in a non-conference matchup. The Shockers come in undefeated with dominant performances, while Loyola Chicago has lost back-to-back games and is searching for offensive consistency. This represents a significant talent gap, with Wichita State being a clear favorite in both the betting market and performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wichita State has been exceptional early in the season, averaging 90 PPG on 48.8% field goal shooting, 35.9% from three-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line. Their defense has been suffocating, allowing just 60 PPG with 6 blocks and 8.5 steals per game. They're also dominant on the glass with 45.5 rebounds per game. Loyola Chicago, conversely, has struggled significantly. They average 72.7 PPG on 38.5% shooting while allowing 75 PPG. Their offense ranks as a major concern with only 15.7 assists per game, indicating ball movement issues. Justin Moore leads the Ramblers with 14.3 PPG and 5.3 APG, while Miles Rubin contributes 13.7 PPG and team-leading 6.3 RPG.
- Wichita State has won the first half in each of its last six games against Loyola (IL), suggesting strong early-game execution. Additionally, Wichita State has won 16 of its last 17 games against non-conference opponents at Charles Koch Arena, demonstrating formidable home court dominance. These historical trends heavily favor the Shockers.
- Wichita State has some roster concerns with Pierre Cousinard redshirting and unavailable for the 2025-2026 season, and Tyrus Rathan-Mayes also redshirting. However, key performer TJ Williams is healthy and active. Loyola Chicago has Joy Ighovodja sidelined for 'a week or two' with an undisclosed injury, which impacts their depth and rotation flexibility.
- Loyola Chicago has shown historical strength in night games (9-2 in last 11 night games) and has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 night games against non-conference opponents. However, this advantage is likely negated by playing on the road at a hostile arena against a superior opponent. The game starts at 12:30 AM UTC, which is technically early morning Friday but still evening time in the Central Time Zone where both teams operate.
- Wichita State enters undefeated and seeking to maintain momentum while building their resume. Loyola Chicago desperately needs a win after consecutive losses and faces significant pressure to stop the bleeding. However, motivation alone rarely overcomes a substantial talent gap.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wichita State -190 | Loyola Chicago +155 | Wichita State Shockers | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Wichita State -4.5 (-115) | Loyola Chicago +4.5 (-105) | Wichita State -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Over/under | Over 152.5 (-105) | Under 152.5 (-115) | Under 152.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wichita St Shockers 67% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Wichita St Shockers at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wichita State will dominate this matchup convincingly. The Shockers' superior offensive efficiency, elite defense, and home court advantage create an environment where Loyola Chicago will struggle throughout. Expect Wichita State to control both halves, leverage their rebounding advantage (45.5 vs 33.3 RPG), and implement defensive pressure that disrupts Loyola's already inconsistent offensive execution. The betting market correctly identifies this as a significant mismatch.
Predicted Score: Wichita State 94, Loyola Chicago 68
