Match Analysis: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Los Angeles Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
Game Overview
The NHL regular-season matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Los Angeles Kings features two teams with similar records, with the Kings slightly favored. Toronto enters the game struggling on a recent 3-game losing streak, holding an 8-8-1 record, while the Kings have a better recent form at 8-5-4 overall. The game is set at Toronto's home arena, which may provide some home-ice advantage despite the Kings being slight favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Kings have shown stronger overall performance this season with an 8-5-4 record compared to Toronto's 8-8-1. Their away record stands at 7-1-2, indicating strong play on the road. Toronto, meanwhile, is 7-4-1 at home but currently on a 3-game losing streak, indicating recent struggles.
- Recent matchups tilt slightly in favor of the home team, the Maple Leafs, but the Kings have frequently been competitive. Home ice generally benefits Toronto due to crowd support and familiarity.
- No significant injury reports have been highlighted in the data, suggesting both teams are relatively healthy going into the match.
- Playing at Scotiabank Arena gives Toronto a home advantage, but Kingsβ aggressive travel schedule and ability to win on the road counterbalance this somewhat.
- Toronto will be motivated to break their losing streak, especially against a division rival, while Los Angeles aims to solidify their position in the Pacific Division with a win against an Atlantic opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings: -112, Toronto Maple Leafs: -108 | Los Angeles Kings | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Los Angeles Kings: -1.5 225, Toronto Maple Leafs: +1.5 -278 | Los Angeles Kings -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -135, Under 5.5: 114 | Over 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Kings -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Kingsβ better form, strong away record, and the odds favoring them slightly, combined with Toronto's recent losing streak, the prediction leans towards a Los Angeles Kings win with moderate confidence.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Kings 4 – 3 Toronto Maple Leafs