Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
Game Overview
KK Crvena zvezda hosts AS Monaco in a EuroLeague matchup at the Belgrade Arena. Crvena zvezda enters as the home favorite with a -132 moneyline, while Monaco is offered at +105. This marks another chapter in the rivalry between these two European powerhouses, with recent history showing competitive encounters. The match features two teams with contrasting recent form trajectories and different strategic approaches to the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- KK Crvena zvezda has shown inconsistent form in recent weeks. Most recently, they lost to BC Dubai 102-86 on November 11, 2025, but prior to that defeated Panathinaikos 86-68 and Buducnost 95-79 in the Adriatic League. Their season record stands at 11-5 (8-3 at home), indicating a strong home court advantage. AS Monaco has been more consistent, maintaining a 5-2 recent record with notable wins including 94-77 over Partizan and 92-84 over Panathinaikos. Monaco averages 89.4 points per game while Crvena zvezda averages 87.6 PPG, suggesting relatively balanced offensive capabilities.
- In their last five encounters, the teams have split results evenly with each winning 2-3 matchups depending on the timeframe. Most recently on January 17, 2025, Crvena zvezda defeated Monaco 88-82 at home. Monaco won their previous meeting 90-98 on November 12, 2024 at home. Historically since 2000, Monaco leads the all-time series 6-4, but Crvena zvezda has shown they can win at home, going 91-80 at Pionir Hall in February 2022. The home court advantage appears significant in this matchup, with both teams performing better when hosting.
- No specific injury reports are available in the provided data. Both teams appear to have their key players available based on recent game rosters, with Jordan Nwora averaging 23.7 PIR for Crvena zvezda and Mike James averaging 19.9 PIR for Monaco.
- This is a mid-season EuroLeague contest where both teams are competing for playoff positioning. Crvena zvezda plays with home court support at Belgrade Arena, which has historically been a significant factor in their favor. Monaco must travel to Serbia, which could impact fatigue levels in a condensed schedule. The November timing suggests both teams are still developing chemistry and game flow.
- Crvena zvezda will be motivated to bounce back from their loss to Dubai and assert dominance at home where they hold an impressive 8-3 record. Monaco seeks to continue their winning momentum and prove they can win away from home in hostile environments. For Crvena zvezda, maintaining home court consistency is critical for playoff seeding; for Monaco, an away victory would be significant for confidence and standings positioning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crvena zvezda -132 vs Monaco +105 | KK Crvena zvezda | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Crvena zvezda -2 (-108) vs Monaco +2 (-115) | KK Crvena zvezda -2 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 (-113) vs Under 167.5 (-110) | Under 167.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: KK Crvena zvezda at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
KK Crvena zvezda is favored to win this matchup primarily due to home court advantage, a strong 8-3 home record, and recent head-to-head success at Belgrade Arena. However, Monaco's consistency and recent form improvements present a genuine competitive threat. The narrow spread (-2) reflects the competitive nature of this matchup despite Crvena zvezda's moneyline advantage. Expect a closely contested game where the home team's experience in this venue and crowd support prove decisive in the final minutes.
Predicted Score: Crvena zvezda 84 – AS Monaco 80