Match Analysis: Stanford Cardinal vs Montana St Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Maples Pavilion, Stanford, CA
Game Overview
Stanford Cardinal (2-0) hosts Montana State Bobcats (1-2) in an early morning ACC Network Extra matchup. Stanford enters as a heavy favorite with dominant offensive firepower led by E. Okorie (26.0 PPG), while Montana State seeks to bounce back from a 1-2 start. This represents a significant talent mismatch, with Stanford's superior record, home-court advantage, and established offensive rhythm creating substantial challenges for the visiting Bobcats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stanford has started the season undefeated at 2-0 with strong scoring ability and consistency. The Cardinal have gone over the total in both home games, suggesting offensive potency and/or defensive vulnerability. Montana State enters at 1-2 overall with 1-1 road record, demonstrating inconsistency early in the season. D. Brown leads Montana State scoring at 15.5 PPG, significantly lower than Stanford's leading scorer.
- No direct head-to-head history data available in current search results. This appears to be a non-conference matchup between different conferences, making recent historical comparisons unavailable.
- No injury reports are currently available for either team according to official sources.
- The unusual 3:00 AM start time on Thursday morning is highly unconventional and creates significant fatigue factors for both teams, though this primarily affects travel logistics and rest schedules. Maples Pavilion provides Stanford with established home-court advantage. The early morning broadcast slot suggests this is a secondary matchup on conference programming.
- Stanford seeks to maintain perfect record and establish dominance early in the season. Montana State is motivated to improve upon a disappointing 1-2 start and secure road victory against ranked opponent. However, Stanford's overwhelming odds suggest motivation alone cannot overcome talent differential.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stanford: -1700 | Montana State: +890 | Stanford Cardinal | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | Stanford -14.5 (-110) | Montana State +14.5 (-110) | Stanford -14.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110) | Over 150.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stanford Cardinal -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stanford Cardinal is projected to win decisively over Montana State Bobcats. The combination of superior talent (particularly E. Okorie's 26 PPG production), perfect home record with offensive consistency, and significant point-spread advantage strongly indicate a Stanford victory. Montana State's 1-2 record and lower offensive output suggest difficulty containing Stanford's scoring attack.
Predicted Score: Stanford 78, Montana State 61