Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Game Overview
Cruzeiro hosts Bragantino-SP in a key Brasileirão Série A matchup, with Cruzeiro showcasing stronger recent form and historical dominance at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro is in excellent form with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last six matches, while Bragantino struggles with 3 losses and 1 win during their recent six games.
- Cruzeiro leads head-to-head with 3 wins compared to Bragantino's single win in their last four encounters, showing familiarity and psychological edge on home turf.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both sides will field competitive lineups.
- Playing at home provides Cruzeiro an advantage in crowd support and familiarity with the pitch at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto.
- Cruzeiro currently in a higher league standing with more to gain from maintaining momentum; Bragantino's motivation is lower due to recent poor form and away conditions.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -192, away: 525, draw: 305 | Cruzeiro | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Cruzeiro -1 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over: -105, under: -115 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cruzeiro to win the match and cover the -1 goal spread; expect under 2.5 goals scored.
Predicted Score: 2-0