Match Analysis: GW Revolutionaries vs American Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC
Game Overview
The George Washington Revolutionaries host the American Eagles in a non-conference matchup at the Charles E. Smith Center. GW enters the game with a 2-0 record and a strong offensive showing, while American is 1-1 after a recent win over Penn. The Revolutionaries are heavy favorites, with a spread of -18.5 and a moneyline of -2500, reflecting their dominant start to the season and home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- George Washington has started the season 2-0, defeating Maine (67-47) and South Florida (99-95), averaging 83.0 PPG and allowing 71.0 PPG. Their offense is led by Tyrone Marshall Jr. (13.0 PPG, 7.5 RPG). American is 1-1, with a win over Penn (84-78) and a loss at Wake Forest (88-74), averaging 79.0 PPG and allowing 83.0 PPG. Their leading scorer is Madden Collins (15.0 PPG).
- The teams have met 10 times since 1997, with GW holding a 6-4 edge. In the last three seasons, American has won both meetings (2024: 81-71, 2022: 69-64, 2019: 67-65), but GW won the most recent matchup in 2018 (71-67). American has covered the spread in their last three meetings, and the total has gone under in two of the last three games.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at the Charles E. Smith Center, GW's home court, which provides a strong home advantage. The Revolutionaries are celebrating their 50th anniversary at the venue, which could add extra motivation. The crowd and venue familiarity are expected to play a role in GW's favor.
- GW is looking to maintain their undefeated start and capitalize on their home-court advantage. American is seeking to bounce back from a loss and prove themselves against a higher-level opponent. The historical rivalry and recent close games add competitive intensity, but GW's superior record and home environment give them the edge in motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | American Eagles: 1150, GW Revolutionaries: -2500 | GW Revolutionaries | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | American Eagles: 18.5 -105, GW Revolutionaries: -18.5 -115 | GW Revolutionaries -18.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 | Over 154.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | GW Revolutionaries 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
George Washington is expected to win comfortably, leveraging their strong start, home advantage, and superior team performance. The spread is steep, but GW's offensive firepower and defensive consistency make them likely to cover. The total is set at 154.5, and with both teams averaging high scoring, the over is favored.
Predicted Score: GW Revolutionaries 88 – 72 American Eagles