Match Analysis: Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 8:25 PM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
A closely contested early-season NFL matchup featuring the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) visiting the Chicago Bears (0-2). Cowboys are slight favorites with a 1.5-point spread, and the total projected points is 50.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dallas Cowboys have shown a balanced team with a 1-1 record, offense averaging just under 24 points per game, while Chicago Bears have struggled especially offensively with 0-2 and around 20 points scored on average. Bears defense has been porous but playing at home could help.
- Recent matchups between these two have been competitive with a slight edge to Cowboys in wins, but Bears have shown ability to cover spreads at home versus Dallas in last few encounters.
- No major key injuries reported for either team that significantly affect starting quarterbacks or primary offensive weapons, lending to a fairly even playing field injury-wise.
- Chicago home crowd at Soldier Field expected to be loud and energized as Bears seek first win. Weather conditions forecast to be mild, not impacting game flow or scoring.
- Bears highly motivated to break their 0-2 start at home against a well-regarded opponent. Cowboys look to maintain momentum after a 1-1 start and avoid letting Bears gain early season confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +100, away: -120 | Chicago Bears | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Bears +1.5: -115, Cowboys -1.5: -105 | Chicago Bears +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 50.5: -108, Under 50.5: -112 | Under 50.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Bears -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 50.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Bears moneyline upset with strong home motivation, combined with expected game flow favoring under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Chicago Bears 24 – Dallas Cowboys 20