Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Signal Iduna Park
Game Overview
Borussia Dortmund hosts VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga clash with Dortmund as clear favorites. Dortmund are undefeated in their last 11 league matches and show strong attacking form. Wolfsburg have been scoring consistently but have yet to win at Dortmund in recent meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Borussia Dortmund have won their last two Bundesliga games and are prolific in scoring with an average near 3 goals per match recently. Wolfsburg have an unbeaten start to the season but less consistent defensively.
- Dortmund won 7 of the last 10 encounters against Wolfsburg and Wolfsburg has failed to win in Dortmund for seven consecutive meetings, often failing to score.
- No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups significantly for either team.
- Match officiated by Daniel Siebert, who averages 4.8 yellow cards per game, but both teams have shown disciplined play historically in this fixture.
- Dortmund are highly motivated to maintain their strong home form and keep pace at the top of the Bundesliga table. Wolfsburg aim to continue their unbeaten run but face a challenging away fixture.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund -196, VfL Wolfsburg 425, Draw 400 | Borussia Dortmund | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Borussia Dortmund -1 (-125), VfL Wolfsburg +1 (105) | Borussia Dortmund -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.25 (-112), Under 3.25 (-108) | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund to win the match, cover -1 spread, and match to go over 3.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1