Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Estoril – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Game Overview
Gil Vicente hosts Estoril in a closely matched Primeira Liga game where Gil Vicente sit 6th with solid recent form, while Estoril are 10th but have shown strong attacking tendencies. Both teams have similar historical performances and average goals per match hover around 2.6.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gil Vicente have won 3 of their last 5 matches with a moderate scoring rate (~1 goal per match) but concede more, having not kept a clean sheet recently. Estoril are in better recent form offensively, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 and scoring 1.6 goals per game.
- Historically, Estoril hold a slight edge in wins (10 to Gil Vicente’s 9) over 27 games since 2004. Recent encounters are balanced with 8 matches splitting 2 home wins, 3 away wins, and 3 draws. Last meeting ended 2-1 to Estoril away.
- No notable injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
- The match is at Gil Vicente’s home ground, Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, which tends to provide home advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
- Gil Vicente aim to stabilize top-half position with home advantage motivating them. Estoril seek to climb from 10th with recent good form fueling confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Gil Vicente: +129, Draw: +205, Estoril: +235 | Gil Vicente | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Gil Vicente -0.25: -105, Estoril +25: -115 | Gil Vicente -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2: -130, Under 2: +110 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Gil Vicente 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 30% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente to win (Moneyline), Gil Vicente -0.25 spread, Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0