Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Monchengladbach – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: BayArena, Leverkusen
Game Overview
Bayer Leverkusen, revitalized under new coach Kasper Hjulmand, face a struggling Borussia Monchengladbach side that have failed to score in their last five matches and recently sacked their coach after a heavy 4-0 defeat. Leverkusen have a dominant head-to-head record and strong recent form, including a Champions League draw and a Bundesliga win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leverkusen won their last Bundesliga match 3-1 and drew in the Champions League recently. Monchengladbach are in poor form with consecutive losses and a severe scoring drought.
- Leverkusen have won 8 of the last 10 and hold a 23-7 overall advantage in wins over Monchengladbach, including two wins last season with multiple goals scored.
- Leverkusen miss suspended players Robert Andrich and Ezequiél Fernández but remain strong. No major injury news for Monchengladbach was reported.
- Leverkusen benefit from home advantage and momentum under new management while Monchengladbach’s coaching instability and poor confidence are concerns.
- Leverkusen are motivated to continue their revival and climb the table. Monchengladbach are desperate to end their winless streak but lack confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -177, away: 410, draw: 360 | Home Win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | home(-1): -108, away(+1): -112 | Home -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | over_3.25: -102, under_3.25: -118 | Over 3.25 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bayer Leverkusen 232% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 232% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Predicted Score: 3-1