Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Lorient – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Océane
Game Overview
Le Havre hosts Lorient in a Ligue 1 match where both teams have struggled defensively and have mixed recent form. Le Havre aims to improve on their 13th place standing with only one home win in their last 14 Ligue 1 home matches. Lorient, recovering from back-to-back losses including a 4-0 defeat, look to break their poor away streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Le Havre has scored consistently in three of four recent matches but have lost three of four games, conceding in all. Lorient also shows defensive vulnerability, conceding 12 goals so far this season, with recent heavy defeats indicating low confidence.
- Recent H2H encounters have been high-scoring, including a 3-3 draw and a 3-0 Le Havre home win last season. The trend points to volatile, goal-rich matches.
- No major injury disruptions reported for either side, with likely full lineups expected to field predicted formations: Le Havre (4-5-1) and Lorient's standard setup.
- Le Havre plays at home (Stade Océane), but the home advantage has been limited historically with just 2 wins in their last 14 home Ligue 1 games. Weather or pitch conditions are standard for September in France, no notable external influences.
- Both teams are motivated to arrest poor form early in the season. Lorient seek recovery after consecutive losses, while Le Havre aims to build on a home win against Nice. This setup forecasts a competitive match with attacking intent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Le Havre: 116, Lorient: 220, Draw: 245 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Le Havre -0.25: -112, Lorient +25: -108 | Le Havre -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 55% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw on the moneyline, Le Havre -0.25 on the spread, Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-2