Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 2:45 PM UTC
- Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands
Game Overview
This Eredivisie clash features home side AZ Alkmaar, currently in solid form, hosting league leaders Feyenoord, who come in with five consecutive wins. Expect a tightly contested, competitive match with both teams motivated to secure three points.
Key Factors to Consider
- AZ Alkmaar has won their last two league games and shown consistent home performance, while Feyenoord leads the table, having won their last five games with strong attacking displays.
- In the last 40 encounters, Feyenoord leads with 23 wins versus AZβs 10, and 7 draws. The most recent match ended 1-0 to Feyenoord away. Overall, Feyenoord have scored 74 goals to AZβs 46 in these meetings.
- No major injuries reported for either side that will significantly impact starting lineups or tactics.
- Both teams are playing under normal conditions at AZ's home stadium without weather or external disruptions expected.
- Feyenoord aims to maintain top position and extend their winning streak, while AZ seeks to leverage home advantage to close the gap on the table leaders.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +133 | AZ Alkmaar | β β β ββ 66% |
Spread | +106 | AZ Alkmaar -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | -109 (Over 2.75) | Over 2.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AZ Alkmaar moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-1