Match Analysis: Providence Bruins vs Hartford Wolf Pack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Dunkin' Donuts Center, Providence, RI
Game Overview
The Providence Bruins host the Hartford Wolf Pack in an American Hockey League Atlantic Division matchup. Providence enters as the favored home team with strong recent form, while Hartford looks to bounce back from earlier season struggles. This is a critical divisional contest with playoff implications for both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence Bruins are performing well this season and are heavily favored in this matchup, as reflected in the moneyline odds of -210. Hartford Wolf Pack, as the away team, face an uphill battle against a Providence team that has demonstrated consistency. The Bruins' home ice advantage and superior odds suggest stronger recent performance and team stability.
- The teams met on October 18, 2025, with Providence defeating Hartford 5-2, establishing Providence's dominance in recent head-to-head matchups. This previous result heavily influences the betting odds and suggests Providence possesses a tactical advantage over Hartford. Another matchup occurred on November 12, 2025, which may provide additional context for current form.
- Specific injury information for either team is not available in the provided data. However, Providence Bruins recently recalled player Loke Johansson from the Mariners, suggesting roster adjustments and potential depth considerations.
- Providence plays at home with crowd support at the Dunkin' Donuts Center, a traditional advantage in professional hockey. Hartford faces the challenges of travel and an away-game environment. The timing of the match (7:05 PM ET) is favorable for both teams' circadian rhythms compared to west coast games.
- Both teams are in active competition within the Atlantic Division. Providence, as the stronger team and home squad, is motivated to maintain their winning momentum. Hartford, coming off a loss to Providence just days earlier, will seek redemption and divisional points to improve their standings position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins -210 | Hartford Wolf Pack +160 | Providence Bruins Win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Providence Bruins -1.5 (120) | Hartford Wolf Pack +1.5 (-155) | Providence Bruins -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 (-125) | Under 5.5 (-105) | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Providence Bruins are favored to win this matchup convincingly. With superior odds, home ice advantage, and a recent dominant victory over Hartford, Providence should maintain their winning ways. However, Hartford's desperation factor and recent game film knowledge could lead to a more competitive contest than the opening period suggested.
Predicted Score: Providence Bruins 4 – Hartford Wolf Pack 2