Match Analysis: Clemson Tigers vs Morehead St Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Littlejohn Coliseum
Game Overview
Clemson Tigers (2-0) host Morehead State Eagles (1-2) in a non-conference matchup at Littlejohn Coliseum. Clemson is coming off two dominant home wins, averaging 92.5 points and allowing just 48.5 per game. Morehead State has struggled on the road, losing two of their first three games, including a blowout against Georgia. ESPN Analytics gives Clemson a 99% chance to win, and the betting market reflects a massive favorite status for the Tigers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Clemson has been dominant, averaging 92.5 points and 46 rebounds per game, shooting 49.2% from the field, and forcing turnovers. Morehead State has averaged 78.3 points but allowed 95 per game, struggling defensively and on the road. Clemsonβs balanced scoring and rebounding edge make them a tough matchup.
- Clemson leads the recent series, having won 68-64 in their last meeting. Clemson is 13-0 in night games against non-conference opponents at Littlejohn Coliseum, while Morehead State has lost 7 of its last 8 night games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Clemson is playing at home with strong momentum, while Morehead State is coming off a tough road stretch against ACC competition. The Tigers are favored by over 29 points, reflecting their dominance and the Eaglesβ struggles.
- Clemson is looking to stay perfect and build momentum early in the season. Morehead State is seeking a bounce-back win after a rough start, but their road record and recent losses suggest limited motivation impact.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Clemson Tigers: -100000, Morehead St Eagles: 5000 | Clemson Tigers | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Clemson Tigers: -29.5, Morehead St Eagles: 29.5 | Clemson Tigers -29.5 | β β β β β 95% |
| Over/under | Over: 146.5, Under: 146.5 | Under 146.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Clemson Tigers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 44% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Clemson is heavily favored and expected to win comfortably. The Tigersβ defense and rebounding should overwhelm Morehead State, who have struggled against ACC teams. The game is likely to be a blowout, with Clemson covering the spread and the total likely to stay under due to Clemsonβs defensive strength.
Predicted Score: Clemson 88, Morehead State 62