Match Analysis: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Norfolk St Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Chartway Arena, Norfolk, VA
Game Overview
The Old Dominion Monarchs (1-1) host the Norfolk State Spartans (2-1) at Chartway Arena in a college basketball matchup. Old Dominion has demonstrated a strong offensive performance this season, shooting 49.6% from the floor and averaging 82.5 points per game, a significant increase compared to the previous season. Norfolk State recently lost a close game against William & Mary, showing shooting challenges, particularly at the free throw line. The game features contrasting form as Old Dominion rides the momentum of a decisive recent win, while Norfolk State aims to rebound from a loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion is efficient offensively, ranking 97th nationally in FG% at 49.6% and averaging 82.5 points per game. Key players KC Shaw (16.5 PPG), LJ Thomas (14.5 PPG, 4.5 APG), and Jordan Battle (6.5 RPG) contribute significantly. Norfolk State shoots 43.1% FG, struggled from the charity stripe with just 54.8%, but has good three-point shooting (11 made threes vs William & Mary). Norfolk State's defense allowed 45.3% shooting in the last game.
- Old Dominion won the previous meeting 68-62. The Monarchs hold the edge in their matchup history and currently have positive recent form, while Norfolk State is coming off a close loss.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Robert Davis of Old Dominion recently returned to action, providing depth.
- The game is played at Old Dominion's home venue, Chartway Arena, giving them home-court advantage. The match will be broadcast on ESPN+, which could increase pressure on Norfolk State playing on the road.
- Old Dominion looks motivated to extend their momentum after a big win over Randolph College. Norfolk State seeks to avoid back-to-back losses and prove value as underdogs on a tough road trip.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Norfolk State Spartans: 240, Old Dominion Monarchs: -310 | Old Dominion Monarchs | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Norfolk State Spartans: 6.5 -110, Old Dominion Monarchs: -6.5 -110 | Old Dominion Monarchs -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -106, Under: 149.5 -118 | Under 149.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion Monarchs are favored to win comfortably based on superior offensive efficiency, home advantage, and recent form. Norfolk State may keep it competitive but likely fall short.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 78 – Norfolk State Spartans 69