Match Analysis: Colgate Raiders vs Drexel Dragons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cotterell Court, Hamilton, NY
Game Overview
The Drexel Dragons (1-1) travel to face the Colgate Raiders (0-2) in a Patriot League matchup. Colgate is searching for their first win of the season after dropping their opening two games, while Drexel comes in after a loss to Saint Joseph's (76-65). This game features a struggling Colgate team at home against a Drexel squad that has shown inconsistency early in the season. The home court advantage could be significant for Colgate as they attempt to break into the win column.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colgate has started the season poorly at 0-2, having lost to Northeastern 68-65 in their most recent game. The Raiders are averaging 74 points allowed per game on defense and 71.4 points per game on offense (based on last season's average). Offensively, they are led by Sam Wright (16.5 PPG) and Andrew Alekseyenko (10 PPG), with Jalen Cox providing rebounding (6 RPG) and playmaking (4.5 APG). Drexel enters at 1-1 after losing to Saint Joseph's, shooting only 34.8% from the field and 32% from three-point range in that contest. However, Drexel showed defensive intensity with 8 steals and forced 9 turnovers. Colgate is committing 22.5 fouls per game and converting 77.3% from the free throw line.
- No recent head-to-head data is available from the provided search results regarding previous matchups between these teams this season or recent years.
- No injury information is provided in the available search results for either team.
- The game is being played at Colgate's home venue (Cotterell Court), providing the Raiders with home court advantage. This is a critical factor as Colgate searches for their first win and could provide momentum for the home team. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+ and Patriot League TV, ensuring visibility.
- Colgate has significant motivation as they remain winless (0-2) and need a victory to avoid an 0-3 start to the season. This desperation factor could drive their intensity at home. Drexel, at 1-1, is seeking consistency and will want to avoid falling to 1-2 on the road. The early-season stakes are high for both programs looking to establish winning patterns.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colgate -188 / Drexel +152 | Colgate Raiders | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Colgate -4.5 (-104) / Drexel +4.5 (-118) | Colgate -4.5 | β β β ββ 56% |
| Over/under | Over 137.5 (-108) / Under 137.5 (-116) | Under 137.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colgate Raiders 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 137.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 137.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colgate Raiders win 71-67. The home court advantage combined with Colgate's desperation to secure their first win, combined with Drexel's shooting inconsistency (34.8% in their last game), slightly favors the Raiders. However, Drexel's defensive intensity could keep this competitive. Colgate's 77.3% free throw shooting and balanced scoring (Wright 16.5 PPG, Alekseyenko 10 PPG) should be enough to secure a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: Colgate 71, Drexel 67