Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA
Game Overview
The Penn State Nittany Lions host the Navy Midshipmen at home for their NCAA basketball matchup. Penn State currently holds a 2-0 record with strong offensive and defensive performances early in the season, while Navy is 1-1 with a recent heavy loss against Yale. This game pits a favored Big Ten contender against a Patriot League team with less recent success, making Penn State clear favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Penn State is undefeated at 2-0, showing dominance with a recent 76-68 win over Fairfield and an 87-43 away victory versus New Haven. Navy holds a 1-1 record with a significant 68-97 loss to Yale. Penn Stateβs offense is more potent, averaging above 80 points, while Navy struggles to maintain consistent scoring.
- Limited recent direct matchups, but historical performances indicate Penn State's dominance as a major conference team over Navy, a mid-major program. Penn Stateβs home advantage and stronger schedule provide them an edge.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the game date; both teams appear to be at near full strength.
- The game is at Penn State's Bryce Jordan Center, giving the home team a familiar environment and strong crowd support. Navy is traveling, which may slightly impact performance.
- Penn State aims to extend their perfect season start and assert early dominance in the season. Navy looks to prove competitive against a Power Five opponent and gain momentum for their Patriot League schedule.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -800, away: 520 | Penn State wins | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | home: -12.5 -115, away: 12.5 -105 | Penn State covers -12.5 points | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | over: 154.5 -112, under: 154.5 -112 | Under 154.5 points total | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Penn State Nittany Lions 446% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions at 446% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 85.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Penn State Nittany Lions are strongly favored to win the game due to superior form, home advantage, and deeper roster quality.
Predicted Score: Penn State Nittany Lions 83 – Navy Midshipmen 68