Match Analysis: Los Angeles Clippers vs Atlanta Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: Intuit Dome
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Clippers and Atlanta Hawks meet at the Intuit Dome for an NBA regular season matchup. Historically, the Hawks lead the all-time regular season series with 82 wins to the Clippersβ 52 in 134 games. However, the Clippers have had recent success, winning the last two head-to-head games in the 2024-25 season, including a commanding 121-98 road win on March 14, 2025. The Clippers have shown a strong home performance, while the Hawks have been competitive but less consistent in this rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Clippers have a recent edge with back-to-back wins over the Hawks this season, scoring average around 109 points and allowing about 106 points per game in their last 5 outings. The Hawks average approximately 117 points but have a less stable defense conceding around 113 points per game. Both teams have similar ATS (against the spread) win percentages of 60% over the last 5 games, indicating competitive balance.
- All-time, the Hawks dominate the series 82-52. Since 2005, the teams played 43 times with an almost equal split. The Clippers won both meetings in the current season and have the last two wins overall, suggesting momentum in their favor. Largest Clippers win was by 49 points in 2019, which is a historical outlier.
- No explicit injury information available from search results. Injury status of key players should be monitored closer to game time for accurate analysis.
- The game is played at the Clippersβ home arena, Intuit Dome, providing home-court advantage. No significant external conditions such as travel fatigue or scheduling congestion have been reported.
- The Clippers will aim to extend their winning streak against the Hawks this season and capitalize on home advantage. The Hawks seek to break the losing trend recent and assert their historical dominance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Hawks: +145, Los Angeles Clippers: -175 | Los Angeles Clippers | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Atlanta Hawks: +4.5 -112, Los Angeles Clippers: -4.5 -108 | Los Angeles Clippers -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 221.5 -112, Under: 221.5 -108 | Under 221.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Clippers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 221.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 221.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Los Angeles Clippers are favored to win this game at home, considering recent head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and competitive team performance metrics.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Clippers 112 – 106 Atlanta Hawks