Match Analysis: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs Northern Illinois Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Global Credit Union Arena, Phoenix, AZ
Game Overview
The Grand Canyon Antelopes (GCU) host the Northern Illinois Huskies (NIU) in an early-season non-conference clash. Both teams are coming off losses, with Grand Canyon falling at home to Youngstown State (90-81) and NIU suffering a heavy road defeat at Wisconsin (97-72)[2]. GCU holds home-court advantage, a significant edge in college basketball. The game is set to be televised on the Mountain West Network[4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Grand Canyon is 1-1, averaging 85.5 PPG and allowing 80.5 PPG, with a notable +10 point differential[2]. They out-rebound opponents by nearly 9 boards per game (39.0 RPG vs. 30.5 for NIU)[3]. NIU is also 1-1, scoring 87.0 PPG but allowing 89.5 PPG, with a -5 point differential[2]. GCU's leading scorer, Naheem McLeod (18.0 PPG, 10.5 RPG, 4.0 APG), provides inside presence and versatility[3]. NIU's top performer, Jalen Ituka (16.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 1.5 APG), is a solid guard but may struggle against GCUβs size and athleticism[3].
- No recent head-to-head meetings found, making this a first-time encounter in the modern era.
- No injury reports are available in the provided data.
- GCU enjoys a strong home-court advantage; Phoenix-area teams often perform better in front of energetic crowds. The game is scheduled on a Monday night, with both teams looking to rebound from losses[1][2].
- Both teams are motivated to bounce back from defeats. For GCU, this is a prime opportunity to reassert themselves at home. NIU, coming off a tough loss to a ranked opponent, will look to prove themselves on the road, but may face an uphill battle given the travel and opponent strength[2].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | GCU -2800 / NIU +1300 | GCU Win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | GCU -20.5 (-108) / NIU +20.5 (-112) | GCU Covers (-20.5) | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 164.5 (-110) / Under 164.5 (-110) | Under 164.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes 1244% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 164.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Grand Canyon Antelopes at 1244% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 95.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Grand Canyon Antelopes is heavily favored for a convincing win, both by the odds and the data. Their superior rebounding, home-court advantage, and recent efficiency metrics suggest they can cover the large spread. The game is likely to remain under the high total, given both teamsβ recent defensive struggles but the Huskiesβ limited offensive upside against GCUβs defense[2].
Predicted Score: Grand Canyon Antelopes 89, Northern Illinois Huskies 68