Match Analysis: Virginia Cavaliers vs Stanford Cardinal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville
Game Overview
Virginia Cavaliers (2-1) host Stanford Cardinal (1-2) in a college football matchup at Scott Stadium. Virginia is favored strongly in all markets given their superior record, home advantage, and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Virginia has a 2-1 record with consistent wins and covers against the spread recently (2-1 ATS). Stanford is struggling at 1-2 and has been outperformed by most opponents.
- Recent H2H data is limited but Virginia holds a psychological edge with higher recent win and ATS percentages against similarly ranked teams.
- No major injury reports for either team have surfaced, suggesting both squads will be at near full strength.
- Game is played at Virginia's home stadium with mild weather conditions (73Β°F, low rain chance), favoring the Cavaliers.
- Virginia is motivated to maintain a strong conference start at home, while Stanford looks to rebound from a slow start overall.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Virginia Cavaliers: -700, Stanford Cardinal: 500 | Virginia Cavaliers | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Virginia Cavaliers: -15.5 -108, Stanford Cardinal: +15.5 -112 | Virginia Cavaliers -15.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over: 49.5 -108, Under: 49.5 -112 | Under 49.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Virginia Cavaliers -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Virginia to win comfortably covering the large spread, with a final score projection indicating a clear victory and an expected under on total points.
Predicted Score: Virginia Cavaliers 31 – Stanford Cardinal 13